Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 60.800915 69.058646 77.552310 86.908439 96.893180 107.199707 118.612422
2025-06-15 48.955327 60.824324 73.631339 88.340717 104.638518 122.025262 141.860418
2025-06-22 42.042623 55.926420 71.445833 89.798006 110.646216 133.360538 159.753503
2025-06-29 35.538077 50.557791 67.924273 89.016783 113.512498 140.686438 172.748823
2025-07-06 29.616142 45.154934 63.741906 86.904690 114.362469 145.323626 182.353405
2025-07-13 27.380385 43.991074 64.364421 90.222350 121.313646 156.761633 199.542042
2025-07-20 24.879056 42.202343 63.997080 92.161984 126.493331 166.046674 214.185088
2025-07-27 21.723034 39.230315 61.897374 91.771437 128.720962 171.759541 224.597348
2025-08-03 18.826987 36.320627 59.647737 90.998377 130.326384 176.615940 233.911544
2025-08-10 16.788890 34.419792 58.561275 91.562751 133.462826 183.212610 245.209220
2025-08-17 14.574271 32.030854 56.650198 90.928310 135.006236 187.820166 254.095246
2025-08-24 12.903835 30.296898 55.506666 91.189197 137.588325 193.623007 264.360474
2025-08-31 10.982564 27.977244 53.430988 90.153285 138.514164 197.435331 272.310147
2025-09-07 9.932528 26.988915 53.187807 91.526626 142.486615 204.970582 284.748887
2025-09-14 9.023890 26.138981 53.077074 93.028859 146.590708 212.648773 297.353599
2025-09-21 7.658747 24.289623 51.358999 92.228973 147.641789 216.500475 305.285219
2025-09-28 6.168844 21.965603 48.758535 90.072812 146.820210 217.945598 310.225133
2025-10-05 5.950626 22.158937 50.077839 93.460024 153.325671 228.588228 326.449464
2025-10-12 5.480578 21.763619 50.426948 95.439871 157.951651 236.866235 339.779988
2025-10-19 4.635693 20.420898 49.166816 95.041255 159.357944 241.049955 348.051157
2025-10-26 3.828842 19.002690 47.687063 94.252187 160.187806 244.466995 355.350624
2025-11-02 3.313731 18.185353 47.159839 94.828254 162.842455 250.197460 365.516101
2025-11-09 2.698135 16.960388 45.851185 94.180666 163.786234 253.709198 372.902455